Alexandre Muller vs Francisco Cerundolo Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

Over the past year, Alexandre Muller and Francisco Cerundolo have demonstrated comparable second serve performances, with Muller winning 45.71% of his points and Cerundolo slightly trailing at 45.46%. Analyzing return game statistics, Muller has shown stronger performance by securing 47.31% of his opponent’s second serve points compared to Cerundolo's 46.33%. Meanwhile, Cerundolo demonstrates a slightly better ability to return first serves, with a success rate of 25.8% against Muller's 24.91%. This comprehensive data is crucial for predicting the match outcome.

When under pressure, Cerundolo has managed to save 54.58% of breakpoints, which slightly surpasses Muller's 53.48% save rate, offering insight into their mental fortitude during crucial match moments. Assessing their overall performance records over the past year, Cerundolo exhibits a higher win percentage, having won 59.15% of his matches compared to Muller's 56.52%. However, Muller has the upper hand in head-to-head matches, having defeated Cerundolo in both their previous encounters, including their latest meeting at the 2025 Rio Open, where Muller clinched the victory with a 7-5, 6-1 scoreline on clay.

Surface preferences could also play a role in this upcoming match. While Muller excels on hard courts with a win rate of 63%, Cerundolo's strongest surface is clay, where he boasts a 70% winning percentage. Both players have struggled on grass, with Muller earning a 38% win rate and Cerundolo 50%. At the professional level, Muller has contended mainly on the Main tour, with a win percentage of 51.72%, whereas Cerundolo edges slightly ahead at 55.88%.

Evaluating opponents’ caliber, Muller has faced players with an average rank of 110.91, while Cerundolo's competition averaged a higher rank of 69.77, indicating Cerundolo’s exposure to tougher competitors. Interestingly, Muller has a more favorable record in deciding sets, triumphing in 65% of these scenarios compared to Cerundolo’s 46%, which could be pivotal if the match extends to a deciding set.

Regarding conversion of break points, Cerundolo leads marginally with a 28.49% conversion rate against Muller's 28.4%. This minor difference may prove decisive during closely contested games. Despite the closely matched statistics across various metrics, the head-to-head advantage and recent victory momentum favor Muller to win this encounter over Cerundolo, provided the current event stats don't shift the balance significantly during the match.